Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 162.669326 188.885957 219.365440 257.760214 305.319468 362.943303 4.390467e+02
2025-06-15 130.532810 164.045485 207.370242 268.830066 356.071594 479.248137 6.736948e+02
2025-06-22 105.431302 138.868543 184.969567 255.476668 365.042209 537.281458 8.482164e+02
2025-06-29 91.655825 125.314848 174.195707 253.781220 387.486353 618.995046 1.093850e+03
2025-07-06 81.735530 115.225059 166.003717 253.205119 410.091707 706.781836 1.394963e+03
2025-07-13 77.383364 112.540301 168.267752 269.498554 465.688866 875.542850 1.976771e+03
2025-07-20 74.433505 111.452602 172.652947 290.054220 535.162262 1103.254912 2.901323e+03
2025-07-27 69.047147 105.618507 167.989947 292.666619 568.440473 1263.467209 3.796096e+03
2025-08-03 65.149536 101.747205 166.098350 300.129809 614.632980 1480.842263 5.180923e+03
2025-08-10 60.728013 96.436228 160.793884 299.447177 641.361965 1658.670453 6.694269e+03
2025-08-17 57.338230 92.565948 157.638251 302.699452 679.210357 1895.496186 9.014652e+03
2025-08-24 53.972957 88.383724 153.322538 302.514430 708.019529 2122.126057 1.190443e+04
2025-08-31 50.016722 83.054807 146.730796 297.481976 726.876415 2349.426665 1.590312e+04
2025-09-07 48.099216 81.412685 147.516564 310.753044 808.074419 2927.086416 2.711960e+04
2025-09-14 43.903174 74.959064 137.409351 294.665068 789.254613 3024.475422 3.324182e+04
2025-09-21 41.305326 71.388771 133.030041 292.625967 818.224141 3411.566650 4.957628e+04
2025-09-28 39.080823 68.346477 129.418504 291.933294 852.463295 3882.933454 7.834589e+04
2025-10-05 38.457624 68.464810 132.846711 311.556722 974.602640 5146.161359 2.000002e+05
2025-10-12 38.118161 69.122802 137.600790 336.408867 1135.501929 7141.386859 7.866064e+05
2025-10-19 36.512151 66.949837 135.368221 339.574695 1203.020634 8516.341087 2.532576e+06
2025-10-26 35.344816 65.611396 134.990890 348.627921 1306.293402 10686.503384 2.163741e+07
2025-11-02 33.773055 63.254786 131.806032 347.799305 1359.517413 12478.787059 7.221366e+08
2025-11-09 32.546517 61.562382 130.110296 351.748078 1443.546257 15231.105706 NaN